张贝贝, 薛彦东, 黄成玉. 不同变质程度煤的发热量与水分和灰分的多元线性回归分析[J]. 煤田地质与勘探, 2014, 42(4): 8-10,15. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2014.04.002
引用本文: 张贝贝, 薛彦东, 黄成玉. 不同变质程度煤的发热量与水分和灰分的多元线性回归分析[J]. 煤田地质与勘探, 2014, 42(4): 8-10,15. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2014.04.002
ZHANG Beibei, XUE Yandong, HUANG Chengyu. Multivariable linear regression of the correlation between calorific value and moisture and ash content of coal[J]. COAL GEOLOGY & EXPLORATION, 2014, 42(4): 8-10,15. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2014.04.002
Citation: ZHANG Beibei, XUE Yandong, HUANG Chengyu. Multivariable linear regression of the correlation between calorific value and moisture and ash content of coal[J]. COAL GEOLOGY & EXPLORATION, 2014, 42(4): 8-10,15. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2014.04.002

不同变质程度煤的发热量与水分和灰分的多元线性回归分析

Multivariable linear regression of the correlation between calorific value and moisture and ash content of coal

  • 摘要: 发热量是煤质评价和热工计算的重要指标。通过收集内蒙、山西等矿区煤的水分、灰分、挥发分及发热量数据,根据挥发分高低对煤变质程度进行分级,并在此基础上,建立煤的发热量与水分、灰分的多元线性回归分析模型。研究结果表明,研究区煤的发热量与水分、灰分呈反比关系,且随着煤变质程度的降低,水分对发热量的影响逐渐增大,而灰分的影响逐渐降低。运用多元线性回归模型对其他矿区煤的发热量进行预测,并将预测值与实测值进行对比来验证模型的正确性,结果显示,该模型在不同矿区煤的发热量的预测中具有适用性。

     

    Abstract: Calorific value is a basic indicator in coal quality evaluation and thermal calculation. The paper collects data of moisture, ash yield, volatile component and calorific value of coal in different regions and builds multivariable linear regression model between calorific value and moisture content and ash yield. The result shows that with the increasing of volatile component, the influence of moisture on calorific value increased while the influence of ash yield decreased. In order to inspect the accuracy of the model, the calorific value of coal in other regions is calculated and compared with the measured value. The model has high feasibility for the prediction of calorific value in different regions.

     

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