THE APPLICATION OF A COMBINED STOCHASTIC SERIES MODEL ON THE GROUNDWATER LEVEL FORECAST
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摘要: 通过对北方某矿区水文地质条件的分析,特别是对底板承压水多年水位变化规律及其控制因素的分析,建立了预测地下水位变化趋势的混合随机序列模型,并对所建模型进行了考核,分析了残差序列的随机性,通过对模型的预报应用,取得了良好的效果。Abstract: By extensively analysis of the hydrogeological condition in a coalfield,especially by analysis of the groundwater level and the controlling factors,the paper gives a combined stochastic series model.After examination and application of the model in the studied groundwater system,a very good results were given.
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Keywords:
- stochastic model /
- water level /
- prediction
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