CO2咸水层地质封存面临的关键技术难题、挑战及前景

Key technical difficulties, challenges, and prospects of geologic CO2 sequestration in saline aquifers

  • 摘要:
    背景和方法 CCS技术是实现大规模碳减排的主要技术方向,其中CO2咸水层地质封存潜力大,是未来碳封存的主要方式。在调研全球CO2咸水层地质封存研究现状的基础上,聚焦中国复杂地质条件下的封存困境,系统梳理分析CO2咸水层地质封存面临的技术难题、挑战及前景。
    结果和结论 我国在CO2咸水层地质封存技术研发和工程实践上,特别是在百万吨级长期地质封存能力和安全评价技术方面,与西方发达国家存在显著差距。(1) 场地的实际封存能力是制约封存成本的主要因素之一,包括封存量、单井控制封存量及可注入性。如何建立高精度的咸水层三维地质模型、求取封存效率因子、获取盖层破裂及断层开启的极限承压压力、正确理解不同封存机理封存量之间的逻辑关系是封存量计算面临的技术难题;单井控制封存量越大,钻井工程量越小,影响单井控制封存量的因素主要是砂体非均质性、规模及物性;可注入性代表封存量的可实现能力,在CO2咸水层地质封存注入井选址时,需对注入砂体侧向上连通性、润湿性进行精细地质评价,选择高孔渗和低地层压力叠合区,即CO2咸水层地质封存注入甜点,确保注入咸水层中的超临界CO2能从井筒向周围运移。(2) 安全性是CO2咸水层地质封存技术研究的关键问题,包括封存地质体的密封性、稳定性及可监控性。在封存选址时,需正确认识圈闭和极限密封压力对密封性的重要性;稳定性研究面临复杂地质条件下稳定性评价难、CO2咸水层地质封存场地工程参数准确获取难、合理数值模拟数学模型构建难;监测技术手段布置位置和监测技术手段选取是可监控性研究面临的两个主要难题。(3) CO2咸水层地质封存技术的推广还面临国际共识达成难、封存技术保护、封存技术成本高、长期封存安全性、矿权问题争议、政策补贴等方面的挑战。(4) 未来CO2咸水层地质封存技术应用前景广阔,耦合高碳产业脱碳及新能源技术,可延长化石能源的使用时间和新能源供应的稳定性。

     

    Abstract:
    Background and Method Carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology represents the primary technical direction for large-scale carbon emission reduction. Among various CCS techniques, geologic CO2 sequestration in saline aquifers holds great potential, establishing it as a major technique for future carbon storage. Based on a review of the current status of research on global geologic CO2 sequestration in saline aquifers, this study comprehensively analyzed the technical difficulties, challenges, and prospects of this technology, focusing on the dilemma of the application of this technology under complex geological conditions in China.
    Results and Conclusions A huge gap in both the technical R &D and engineering practices of geologic CO2 sequestration in saline aquifers remains between China and developed Western countries, especially in evaluation technologies for the storage capacity and safety of long-term, megaton-scale geologic CO2 sequestration. The actual storage capacity of a site is identified as a primary factor affecting the storage costs, including the amount of storage, single-well-controlled amount of storage, and injectability. Technical difficulties with the calculation of the amount of storage include establishing high-precision 3D geological models of saline aquifers, determining the storage efficiency factor, obtaining the limit pressure of cap rock rupture and fault opening, and correctly understanding the logical relationships between the amounts of storage of various storage mechanisms. A higher single-well-controlled amount of storage is associated with a smaller drilling engineering quantity, with primary influential factors including the heterogeneity, scale, and physical properties of sand bodies. Injectability represents the capacity to achieve the amount of storage. For the siting of injection wells, it is necessary to conduct fine-scale geological evaluation of the lateral connectivity and wettability of the target sand bodies. Areas with overlapping sand bodies with high porosity, high permeability, and low formation pressure, also known as sweet spots for CO2 injection, should be selected to ensure that supercritical CO2 injected into saline aquifers can migrate outward from wellbores. Safety is a key concern in technical research on techniques for geologic CO2 sequestration in saline aquifers, including the sealing performance, stability, and monitorability of target geobodies. Specifically, for the siting of geologic CO2 sequestration, it is essential to gain a correct understanding of the importance of traps and ultimate sealing pressure for the sealing performance. Primary challenges in research on the stability of geobodies for CO2 sequestration include the difficulty in conducting stability evaluation under complex geological conditions, accurately determining engineering parameters of sites, and developing rational mathematical models for numerical simulations. Research on the monitorability primarily faces challenges of determining the locations for monitoring deployment and selecting appropriate monitoring technologies. Additionally, the wide application of geologic CO2 sequestration in saline aquifers also encounters challenges of reaching an international consensus, protectionism for sequestration technologies, high costs of sequestration technologies, long-term storage safety, disputes over mineral rights, and relevant policies and subsidies. Geologic CO2 sequestration in saline aquifers holds great application prospects. The combination of this technology with the decarbonization of high-carbon industries and emerging energy technologies will contribute to prolonged utilization duration of fossil fuels and enhanced stability of new energy supply.

     

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